AAP never attacked any Corrupt or any Terrorist. But why they are attacking Modi and BJP violently?

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Modi vs AAP’s guerrilla war: Has BJP understood its opponent?

R Jagannathan | First Post | New Delhi | Mar 6, 2014:: Yesterday's violent events involving the BJP and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) offer a classic case study in what happens when a heavily armed conventional army is forced to fight a war with lightly-armed and mobile insurgents. The BJP made every possible tactical mistake it could while AAP did what it does best. If the BJP brains trust does not have an effective counter to Arvind Kejriwal's tactics, it will start losing a battle that appeared almost won.

"picking a trouble on his own"

Fighting goes out of control when the combatants misread the other party's intentions. In this case, the BJP seems to understand AAP far less than the AAP does BJP. Moreover, AAP misreading BJP does not matter; it is not playing to win this battle; it is playing for brand recognition, the right to fight the next battle. But the BJP is fighting to win the current electoral battle of 2014. If it misreads AAP, it can damage itself when it has most things going its way. 

It is worth analysing why AAP is doing what it is, and why BJP has done what it has so far - and how the latter’s strategy may need some redirection. 

AAP’s strategy is that of the classic disrupter who has to break the mould in order to have a chance of succeeding. To expect it to follow the normal rules of politics does not suit it at all. It is here to change the rules. This is why it abandoned Delhi so that its tactics are not constrained by the basic needs of decorum and governance norms. Out of government, regular tantrum-throwing can be a part of its arsenal. 

We also have to understand AAP's DNA and tactics by looking at where it came from: it was the product of the Jan Lokpal movement. It is a street-fighter, not a party of government. Its success is not the result of what it stands for but what it stands against. Just as Pakistan defines itself as ‘Not India’, AAP defines itself as ‘Not the Establishment’; its politics is anti-politician. To sustain itself on a diet of Not-the-Establishment rhetoric and keep its cadres motivated, it needs a solid enemy to define as the establishment.

Till December 2013, the Congress was the establishment. After the Congress was demolished in Delhi and three other states, Arvind Kejriwal found that the establishment had vanished. This is why he had to invent a new, mightier enemy in the Narendra Modi-led BJP. Without erecting a Goliath, David would be a footnote in history. Martyrdom is gained against lions, not mice. 

If we understand this, we know why Kejriwal acts the way he does. Congress turned out to be a hollow card-board box, while BJP is the one looking muscular. Kejriwal's idea is not to defeat the BJP but to define himself as David - the frail muffler man heading off to fight Gigantic Evil. He is anti-BJP because BJP is the party to beat. This is why suddenly all the scams of the Congress do not matter. 

This is why Kejriwal heads to Gujarat, where his party has no chance whatsoever. If he fields lots of candidates in Gujarat, the resultant split in the anti-BJP vote may end up giving Modi a clean sweep - maybe all 26 seats. Kejriwal is in Gujarat to position himself as ‘Not Modi’, not to even try to win. His goal is to provoke, engineer a disproportionate response, and position himself as the victim - the Christ whom everyone wants to crucify.

Read the rest here.

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Google PM Trends: Arvind Kejriwal and Rahul Gandhi both lose ground to Narendra Modi.

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Google Trends: Arvind Kejriwal loses ground to Narendra Modi

Express News Service | March 1, 2014:: Narendra Modi's search popularity peaks whilst Arvind Kejriwal's and Rahul Gandhi's takes a beating.

Last month, we ran a story about Google search trends which suggested that Narendra Modi might be the next prime minister. January saw Narendra Modi leading Arvind Kejriwal by a slender margin in Google search popularity. Roll on February, Modi opened the gap between him and Kejriwal by almost doubling his lead.

Riding the aam aadmi wave, Kejriwal became the Chief Minister of New Delhi in December. His search popularity numbers were 75 — five more than Modi — back in December. Since then Modi has shifted gears and stepped on the accelerator to fightback from 70 to reach 82 on Google Trends.

Rahul Gandhi, on the other hand, saw his search popularity surge after his interview with Times Now. But he has slipped to 23 from 36 since then.

To understand how Google Trends works, and to get a more detailed comparison between the three leaders, read this: Narendra Modi may be the next Prime Minister, suggest Google trends

Narendra Modi may be the next Prime Minister, suggest Google trends

Leela Prasad | Express News Service | February 15, 2014 | Updated on February 28, 2014::  As a followup to day before yesterday’s post on @ArvindKejriwal and @narendramodi followers on Twitter, today, we take a look at how popular Rahul Gandhi is when compared to the two national leaders. For this post we used Google Trends to help us gauge the popularity of Rahul, Kejriwal and Modi. Google Trends records search queries that contain keywords related to the three leaders and visualizes the data using graphs. The search query numbers are normalized for our convenience, and plotted on a graph scale of 0-100. The search queries used in the last 30 days are chosen for our case study.

1) Interest over time

See here: http://e.infogr.am/chart-53454839694?src=embed

If we analyse the peaks and troughs of the Google Trends graph, we can learn why there was a huge spike in the number of people 

2) Regional interest .....

3) Search queries ......                     read details here. 

Courtesy: Indian Express.

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AAP Buffoon's Voyage to Modi's Gujarat.

A Buffoon's Voyage to Modi's Gujarat.

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AAP planning to take on BJP in Narendra Modi's Gujarat

Rohit Bhan | NDTV | Ahmedabad | Dec 18, 2103::  Arvind Kejriwal's Aam Aadmi Party, which made a spectacular debut in the Delhi polls and halted the BJP's march to power in the national capital, now seems to be all set to take on the BJP in their own den, Gujarat. 

AAP is now finalising plans to put up its candidates in all the 26 Lok Sabha seats in Gujarat during the forthcoming polls in the state, which is the home turf of BJP's prime ministerial candidate and chief minister Narendra Modi.

The party held a two-day state level core committee meeting recently in which strategies for contesting the polls were worked out. 

"Very shortly we will be constituting elections committee in all the 26 Lok Sabha constituencies in the state," said Dinesh Vaghela, president, Aam Aadmi Party, Gujarat.

AAP claims its Delhi success has given it the much needed boost. In the last one year, 6,000 members enrolled in the party, but after the Delhi elections, in just one week their cadre has gotten stronger by 17,000 new entrants. But questions are being raised over how much impact can AAP make.

The BJP has grown in strength under Mr Modi in the last decade; the Congress on the other hand is on a downslide. But analysts believe that if the AAP plays its cards well, it could inflict damage to both the parties.

"The BJP is highly organised in Gujarat... the Congress lags behind... so if AAP manages to build an organised force... it could well give the other organised force, which is the BJP, something to fight with. Also in some constituencies it would dent the Congress as well, '' commented political analyst, Dinesh Shukla.

In the 2009 Lok Sabha polls, the BJP won just 14 of the 26 seats while the Congress got 12. And with the anti-Congress mood apparent post the recent elections across four states, the Congress has more to worry and lose. 

"If you look at the political history of the state, it has either been Congress or the BJP. Don't think the electorate of the state has ever gone for a third force,'' said Manish Doshi, Congress spokesman.

Downplaying the impact the AAP would have was a stand both parties had taken before the Delhi polls, but it is unlikely that the BJP and the Congress will take them lightly now. But for the AAP too, the 2014 elections are crucial as they need to prove Delhi wasn't just a miracle and a one-off success. [Courtesy: NDTV]. 

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Modi is a Golden Eagle. Kejriwal, a little Sparrow. Indian Press must stop unreasonable comparison and exhorting Modi.

WHO FEARS? AN EAGLE NEVER FEARS A SPARROW. 

Why Narendra Modi need not fear the rise of Arvind Kejriwal

Dhiraj Nayyar | Frist Post | New Delhi |  Dec 10, 2013 :: Should the BJP’s prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi fear Arvind Kejriwal and the Aam Aadmi party in 2014? Should he recalibrate his General Election campaign in response to AAP’s spectacular debut in Delhi? The simple answers are no. 

For perennial Modi baiters, the Aam Aadmi’s performance is being interpreted as a snub to Modi’s Prime Ministerial aspirations. This is a false interpretation for several reasons. Sure, the BJP did not win a clear majority in Delhi despite Modi’s active campaign. But there is an alternative interpretation to Modi’s influence in Delhi. Could it be that it was the Gujarat Chief Minister who denied the AAP a fairytale ending on political debut? 

Remember that it was Modi who forced his party to drop Vijay Goel as the face of the Delhi campaign. If the tainted and unappealing Goel had led the BJP, AAP would almost certainly have won a majority; even Congress may have done better. Remember also that the voters of Delhi knew only too well that Modi was not a candidate for Chief Minister. The genial Harsh Vardhan --  Modi’s chosen alternative -- just didn’t have the charisma or appeal of Arvind Kejriwal. He also had very little time to establish his leadership. In the circumstances, Modi’s intervention in the leadership stakes and on the ground (he certainly fired up the rank and file), may have actually contributed greatly to the BJP emerging as the single largest party ahead of AAP.  It saved an otherwise moribund and infighting Delhi unit from political suicide. So while it is plausible to argue that Kejriwal halted Modi, it is equally plausible to argue that Modi halted Kejriwal and his own party from self-destructing.

It is also important to recognize that Modi has already positioned himself as the anti-establishment candidate of “change” (at the national level) for 2014. This is exactly how Kejriwal and AAP package themselves so successfully in Delhi. Harsh Vardhan, for all his sincerity, never came across as a radical outside who would change the system.  Modi does. That is why the CNN-IBN CSDS post-poll survey for Delhi (which admittedly under-estimated AAP) revealed that almost 50 percent of AAP voters would switch their vote to BJP and Modi in the 2014 General Election.

Read more at here: $ Courtesy: First Post.

Ridiculous: Indian Press and Media Person should abandon to exhort Modi. Please.

Kejriwal's success: Five takeaways Narendra Modi should not ignore

Ajith Vijay Kumar | Zee News | New Delhi | December 10, 2013:: Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party’s spectacular run in Delhi has come as an interjection to the Narendra Modi focused political discourse. 

The media too, for once, chose to go beyond chanting ‘NaMo NaMo’ mantra and focused its lens on the power of the broom. The Sunday was super for the BJP and Modi was in Delhi but the arc lights were all on the AAP. 

The debutant party’s spectacular show has challenged all conventional notions in politics; it is that kind of disruptive event that can fundamentally change the tide. Although they now have a voice, banking on AAP’s ability to change the ‘system’ would be a premature notion – like Barack Obama getting honoured with the Nobel Peace Prize for his "extraordinary efforts" to strengthen international diplomacy and cooperation between peoples. 

Arvind Kejriwal will have to walk the talk. Wisdom says he will, or at least try, to bring change as the broom that swept away the Congress and halted BJP’s march to the podium can also sweep his party away from public consciousness. 

While the Congress had seen the 4-0 washout coming, it is the BJP that has to be on the watch as the Narendra Modi Express speeds its way towards Delhi. 

Though the BJP can now be reasonably sure that it has a good chance to trounce the Congress wherever they are in direct contest with each other, for success in states where there is a powerful regional force, the BJP and Narendra Modi can take a few lessons from the AAP book of success. 

Kejriwal promise of clean politics has thrown up new paradigms and no political party, not the least the BJP, can afford to ignore. 

Read the rest: $ Courtesy: Zee News.

Modi is in Driver Seat. No Other. 

In Uttar Pradesh, Narendra Modi needs to play it right 

AK Verma | ET | Zee News | New Delhi | December 10, 2013:: There is a curiosity among people, some euphoric and others panicky, about Narendra Modi's chances of becoming PM. Since Godhra and Gujarat 2002, he is the most criticised political leader in India. Yet, he has been repeatedly elected CM of Gujarat. Will he succeed at the national level too? The outlook is not easy for Modi.

If we look at the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP-led NDA drew a blank in 12 out of 28 states and in four out of seven Union Territories that collectively make for 162 seats. In addition, BJP has lost three major NDA allies since 2009: the JD(U) in Bihar with 20 seats, the RLD of Ajit Singh in Uttar Pradesh with five seats and, Yedyurappa in Karnataka where it had won 19 seats under his leadership.

All these total to a whopping 206 seats. So, the crucial question is: would Modi be able to make up for that loss and, if yes, how? This can be countered. One, states where BJP won nothing last time may be 'catch states' as any seats won there would be bonus. Such states may be Telangana, Haryana, Uttarakhand and Delhi. Two, in Bihar, BJP may make up for losses as it will contest all 40 seats. In 2009, it contested only 15 seats and won 12, leaving 25 seats for its NDA ally JD(U). It may also get more votes owing to peoples' possible disapproval of Nitish's decision to disband the BJP-JD(U) coalition.

Three, BJP can more than compensate for loss of the RLD in western UP owing to the Muzzaffarnagar riots resulting in a shift of the Jats to BJP. And, finally, Modi may win new allies in AIADMK, TDP and Yedyurappa's Karnataka Jana Paksha.

But, all eyes are actually on how Modi will perform in UP where 80 seats are at stake and where the BJP's stocks are down. In 2009, it won 10 seats with 17.5% votes. Since then, the party had recorded accretions in vote share among Muslims (+4%), and Jatavs or Chamars (+2%) in assembly elections in 2012. How will Modi's candidature impact these communities' response to the BJP?

Muslims are showing up at Modi's rallies though their presence has varied from negligible to heavy. So, are Muslims attracted to Modi? Perhaps, some of them had no problems in states ruled by BJP either independently, as in Gujarat, MP and Chhattisgarh, or in coalition, as in Bihar untill recently.

Additionally, growing economic heterogeneity among them has sharpened class divides along caste lines; upper caste Ashraf, middle caste Azlaf and lower caste Arzal Muslims have realised how their economic interests differ. Modi's development agenda may attract backward Muslims (Azlafs and Arzals), also called pasmanda Muslims. 

Read the rest: $ Courtesy: ET.